Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $11.67
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Polymarket Trader
Jason123123
0x5df7904e44150b18bee041783d5efb17bc1c780d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $297.03
- Realized PnL
- $9.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $8.93
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $705.36
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Y
Yes position
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $206.13
- Potential payout
- $606.26
- Potential profit
- $400.13
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $10.11
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $212.11
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $203.3
- Potential profit
- $200.04
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$6.75
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $7.61
- Potential payout
- $200.34
- Potential profit
- $192.73
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $7.18
- Potential payout
- $110.5
- Potential profit
- $103.32
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $41.14
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.68
N
No position
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $18.72
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $14.88
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $729.27
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.28
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.41
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $569.82
Yes position
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $406.82
No position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.36
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.95
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.31
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.19
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.78
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $222.61
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.46
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.19
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Mavericks
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.03
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-03-26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $171.55
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.1
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes 38.2% 133.45 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 82% 64.64 shares
- Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes 37.9% 79.1 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Yes 5% 200.34 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by July 8?No 0.2% 4,500 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by July 8?No 1.6% 644.08 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by July 8?No 2% 551.5 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by July 8?No 1.4% 696.5 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 43% 22.72 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 19% 124.54 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 13% 101.06 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 22% 62.5 shares