Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $226.59
- Potential payout
- $3.49K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$599.75
Polymarket Trader
1192110
0x5df909049de901aecd8ad8a5729ead35ba0fbe65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $403.59
- Realized PnL
- $5.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $77
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$183
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $586
- Potential profit
- $586
- User PnL
- -$128.92
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $989.18
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $881.52
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $392.09
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $325.03
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $242.82
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.06
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 16?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 1?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114.17
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.22
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.56
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.97
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.55
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.25
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.6
Yes position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.68
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp 27% 136.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp 5% 86.32 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 19% 3,086 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 7% 5,053.09 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 27% 1,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No 66.6% 982 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.1% 100,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.1% 100,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.1% 30,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No 55% 964 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.7% 30,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 9% 2,000 shares