Polymarket Trader

Horialuca

0x5e0f19bd7a30e9f4460f4d8cb651c75304f2c18c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $557.79
Realized PnL: $4.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $26.4
Potential payout: $4.8K
Potential profit: $4.77K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $79
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $12.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$5.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $202.95
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $897.05
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $127.05
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $972.95
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: $33.55

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $88.55
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $978.21
Potential profit: $975.76
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$22.55

Yes position

Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $896.85
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$14.85

Yes position

Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $731.67
Potential profit: $716.67
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $528.89
Potential profit: $528.89
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $516.2
Potential profit: $516.2
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $685.86

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.6%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $581.2

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.17

No position

Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.04

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.46

Yes position

Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $175.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $159

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $151.47

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.32

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $129.93

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.93

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.43

Yes position

Will FCSB win on 2026-04-20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.4

Yes position

Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-05-08?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: England (-1.5)

England 33% 111.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 592.69 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Portugal 54% 129.63 shares
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

No 60% 1,000 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 99% 69.19 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 31% 69.19 shares
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Brazil 32% 156.25 shares
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)

Scotland 40% 150 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Switzerland 57% 120 shares
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5

Over 73% 65.75 shares
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Mexico 99.9% 48.78 shares
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Mexico 41% 48.78 shares