Yes position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $226.58
- Potential payout
- $545.98
- Potential profit
- $319.4
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$53.94
Polymarket Trader
Koteji
0x5e103934dcb85ecf21600af1afb0fe37a3009356
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $343.04
- Realized PnL
- $448.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $106.46
- Potential payout
- $197.15
- Potential profit
- $90.69
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$13.54
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.92
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.45
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.93
Yes position
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.93
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.98
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.06
Yes position
Will 'Otonoke' win Crunchyroll's Best Anime Song Award for 2025?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.45
Yes position
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
No position
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.45
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.06
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.48
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.43
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
Yes position
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
No position
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $10.37
No position
Spotify working again by midnight?
Ends Jun 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.71
No position
Russia announces air truce by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.41
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 27.2% 7.35 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 10% 50 shares
- Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No 82% 37.03 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 38% 17.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 58% 10.41 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 29% 100.18 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 58% 40.66 shares
- Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No 33% 67.18 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 56% 17.86 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 87% 14.49 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 56.5% 25.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 92% 15.15 shares