No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.19
Polymarket Trader
64f4
0x5e22e4b9dc6daa2f4b4d52c8d5f31024efbfd7a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.66
- Realized PnL
- $50.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $25.81
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $15.96
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $14.98
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $10.74
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.18
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 94% 16 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No 92.7% 30 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 60% 22 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?No 78% 18 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 7?No 86% 11 shares
- Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?No 41% 13 shares
- Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?No 95.9% 13 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 85% 22 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 98.7% 15 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 95% 15 shares
- StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No 97.3% 11 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 98.6% 17 shares