orbiterix

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $681
Potential profit: $661.25
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$24.67

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.3%
Current value: $123.29
Potential payout: $359.98
Potential profit: $236.69
Multiplier: 2.92x
User PnL: $60.41

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$32.4

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $24.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $175.3
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$9.15

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $18.4
Potential payout: $159.98
Potential profit: $141.58
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$14.6

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $84.74
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $65.27
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$10.36

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $147.45
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $100.63
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $24.38
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $119.99
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $119.99
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $22.26
Potential payout: $112.41
Potential profit: $90.15
Multiplier: 5.05x
User PnL: -$42.74

Over position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$2.08

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $86.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$62.43

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.3

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.2

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.75

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.4

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.42

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.51

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.8

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.95

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.9

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.8

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.6

Yes position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.38

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.34

No position

Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.75

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.7

Yes position

Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.29

Yes position

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.25

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $21.56

Real Madrid CF position

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60%
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $21.16

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.18

Bernard Tomic position

Little Rock: Blaise Bicknell vs Bernard Tomic