Polymarket Trader

NicholasTheSecond

0x5e2fbaa107924ea40dee5eb40482fbaf6f7155ca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.59K
Realized PnL: $92.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $10.59K
Potential profit: $8.46K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$3.17K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $8.46K
Potential payout: $10.59K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $3.17K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 312.56 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 65,000 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 8,693.21 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 31.5% 110.87 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 17.9% 50 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 35.4% 360.73 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 37% 94.37 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 32% 455.1 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 51% 304.47 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 3.4% 2,500 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

No 10% 500 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 5% 2,780.79 shares