No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.49K
- Potential payout
- $7.49K
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- User PnL
- $356.92
Polymarket Trader
s.p.q.r
0x5e3214dbac82e740c0563ef1f6b7e93b77343408
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.59K
- Realized PnL
- $11.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $6.9K
- Potential profit
- $5.49K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$241.5
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $3.36K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $154.44
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $267.17
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.34K
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $303.6
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $13.2
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $188.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $84.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$994.24
Yes position
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $546
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $54
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $575.4
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $24.6
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $29.4
No position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $445
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $382.2
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $37.8
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $380
- User PnL
- -$342
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $298.69
- Potential payout
- $339.42
- Potential profit
- $40.73
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.79
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $125.66
- Potential payout
- $239.36
- Potential profit
- $113.7
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$5.98
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $111.73
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $11.73
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $100.54
- Potential payout
- $107.53
- Potential profit
- $6.99
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $91.56
- Potential payout
- $101.18
- Potential profit
- $9.61
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $96.24
- Potential payout
- $99.47
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $39.56
- Potential payout
- $45.21
- Potential profit
- $5.65
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $28.13
- Potential payout
- $31.96
- Potential profit
- $3.84
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.47
No position
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $28.09
- Potential payout
- $29.12
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $17.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.69
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.45
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.2
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.53
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.18
No position
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.94
Yes position
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.57
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.81
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.28
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.4
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $78.69
No position
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 250 shares
- Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Yes 0.6% 97.97 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91% 600 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 39.5% 50 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 67.6% 1,200 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 15% 134 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 45% 5,000 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No 37% 1,455 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes 0.6% 1,240 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 84% 756.91 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No 87% 272 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 65% 100 shares