Polymarket Trader

Parliament

0x5e3862cf1c83128a055cc2bc48eba3e567c1a1db

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.89K
Realized PnL: $101.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.21K
Potential profit: $35.21K
User PnL: -$6.22K

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $5.39K
Potential payout: $13.82K
Potential profit: $8.43K
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.06K
Potential profit: $13.06K
User PnL: -$199.99

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.9K
Potential profit: $8.9K
User PnL: -$4.4K

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $7.95K
Potential profit: $457.39
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $497.17

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.36K
Potential profit: $7.36K
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $5.3K
User PnL: -$139.99

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.21K
Potential profit: $5.21K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $4.97K
User PnL: -$124.99

No position

Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.73K
Potential profit: $4.73K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.46K
Potential profit: $4.46K
User PnL: -$250

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $4.39K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.14K
User PnL: -$450

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.98K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Lương Tam Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.42K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$360

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.88K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 15% and 20%?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will PPP/C win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$80

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.37K

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.46K

No position

Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59K

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65K

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56K

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

Yes position

Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

No position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $979.12

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $886.79

Yes position

Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $812.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 28.9% 13,821.89 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 27.3% 4,389.77 shares
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 1.5% 13,055.01 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 63.4% 788.88 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Yes 16% 1,875 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 53% 1,886.79 shares
Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

No 92.7% 431.51 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 39% 256.71 shares
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

No 59.8% 1,171.01 shares
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Yes 28.8% 5,208.35 shares
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

No 11.1% 255.48 shares
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

No 47% 255.49 shares