Polymarket Trader

FernandoCortes

0x5e3c79372b7e9451312b7c7153a54c5bc457763a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $334.53
Realized PnL: $3.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $34.56
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $140.44
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$52.94

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $140.44
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $34.56
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $52.94

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $19.33
Potential payout: $140.6
Potential profit: $121.27
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: $12.33

No position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $97.34
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $9.04
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.72
Potential payout: $12.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.72

No position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $10.14
Potential payout: $10.3
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $782

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Mavericks

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185

Yes position

Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.76

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.37

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.33

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.44

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.33

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Grizzlies

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.18

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Predators

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Heat position

Knicks vs. Heat

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Pacers

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Broncos position

Broncos vs. Texans

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

49ers position

49ers vs. Giants

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

Canucks position

Canucks vs. Predators

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.38

Blue Jackets position

Blue Jackets vs. Sabres

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Devils position

Avalanche vs. Devils

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

Bears position

Bears vs. Bengals

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Commanders

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Suns

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 100,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8?

Up 49% 3,600 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.6% 111.2 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 78.6% 12.72 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 75% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

No 73.5% 13.24 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 94% 106.38 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 59% 10.17 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

No 97.2% 24.94 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

No 97.2% 24.94 shares
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

No 55% 5.68 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 27% 38.46 shares