Polymarket Trader

tonyhawk

0x5e44788918f09343ef717ba439315ba2232f8bf8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54.8
Realized PnL: $17.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.02
Potential payout: $20.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $17.03
Potential payout: $17.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.73
Potential payout: $7.73
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.73

Maks Kasnikowski position

Pune: Felix Gill vs Maks Kasnikowski

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.53
Potential profit: $7.53
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.37
Potential profit: $7.37
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Karmine Corp position

LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on September 29?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

No position

Will Mahmoud Abbas attend the UN General Assembly?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will Israel strike Iran on Sunday?

Ends Oct 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Israel strike on Damascus by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Trump say "COVID" by April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Packers position

Texans vs. Packers

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Israel strikes Syria by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Glean IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Lana Del Rey pregnant in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will 1 QB get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?

Ends Apr 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

D4vd arrested by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

No 99.8% 17.03 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 99.9% 20.02 shares
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

No 83.7% 10.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

No 97.4% 6.16 shares
Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen in February 2026?

No 99.3% 8.06 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

No 90.5% 7.73 shares
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Karmine Corp 79% 18.99 shares
Pune: Felix Gill vs Maks Kasnikowski

Maks Kasnikowski 93% 7.53 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?

No 93.7% 7.47 shares
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?

No 98.7% 8.11 shares
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

No 88% 10.23 shares