Polymarket Trader

Day427

0x5e54642812a8bb166799ce4bbcfc634492a23d9b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.77
Realized PnL: $10.41
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $47.09
Potential payout: $84.84
Potential profit: $37.75
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $22.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 24.8%
Current value: $19.17
Potential payout: $77.46
Potential profit: $58.29
Multiplier: 4.04x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.44
Potential profit: $59.44
User PnL: -$29.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.27
Potential profit: $59.27
User PnL: -$29.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $58.76
Potential profit: $58.08
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.1
Potential profit: $51.1
User PnL: -$20.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.12
Potential profit: $50.12
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $40.22
Potential profit: $39.38
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $39.87
Potential profit: $35.68
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$6.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.68
Potential profit: $17.68
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.01
Potential profit: $14.01
User PnL: -$3.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.45
Potential profit: $10.45
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.2
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.76
Potential profit: $7.76
User PnL: -$2.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 14% 12.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 17.6% 39.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 16.1% 12.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 58.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 38.5% 38.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8.3% 49.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 15.9% 12.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 40.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 28.1% 28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 8.6% 12.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.6% 10 shares