Polymarket Trader

Juanita100

0x5e60ca6d35b5562bb2e6f90e436e2268540f8ce7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $425.74
Realized PnL: $1.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $242.99
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $356.99
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$35.4

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $47.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$28.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.8

Southern Miss position

Texas State vs. Southern Miss

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$18.3

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$26.7

Yes position

Manchester City wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$14.28

No position

Starmer out by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 74.4%
Current value: $14.87
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$3.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.75

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.2

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.67

Yes position

US bank failure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.49

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.59

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.88

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.29

Yes position

Will Berachain launch in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.12

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.06

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.52

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

No position

Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

No position

Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-19?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-19?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.72

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 15, 2026?

No 98.5% 20 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 89% 30 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99% 91.76 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 52.2% 12 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 48.6% 317 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?

Down 87% 50 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?

Down 86% 6 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?

Up 13% 403.26 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?

Up 53% 108 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?

Up 51% 116.38 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?

Up 50% 124 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?

Down 50% 11.62 shares