Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $102.18
- Potential payout
- $335
- Potential profit
- $232.83
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Polymarket Trader
sufei
0x5e80a458ae5caad3f43421309a44f55ed5b764b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $169.77
- Realized PnL
- $267.5
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $67.6
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $192.4
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$41.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.3
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $63
Yes position
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$163.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No 42% 45 shares
- Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes 27% 6,500 shares
- Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes 27% 5,500 shares
- Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes 27% 6,200 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 78% 6,300 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 77% 6,300 shares
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No 58.6% 450 shares