Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $15.71
- Potential payout
- $61.61
- Potential profit
- $45.9
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
Polymarket Trader
0x5e9c2ca7BDB2B4bFb9d885e9009e8104089db5CF-1763370644411
0x5e9c2ca7bdb2b4bfb9d885e9009e8104089db5cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.38
- Realized PnL
- $173.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.56
- Potential profit
- $43.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $8.38
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $11.37
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Over position
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $9.15
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$5
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Robert Ruchala position
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.49
- Potential profit
- $3.49
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Chris Duncan position
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.35
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Rafael Estevam position
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Tabatha Ricci position
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.98
Yes position
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.42
No position
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.91
Yes position
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes 39% 15.38 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 40% 2.5 shares
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over 52% 9.62 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.8% 9.15 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway 65% 7.69 shares
- Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes 94.6% 16 shares
- Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 55% 9.09 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes 47% 10.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETDown 22% 22.73 shares