Polymarket Trader

Funfzig

0x5e9c76f30788f31f6c6867f5f44b1e95a7a7cd75

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.11K
Realized PnL: $2.06M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $3.84K
Potential payout: $52.91K
Potential profit: $49.07K
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $39.07K
Potential profit: $37.06K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $5.88K
Potential payout: $16.58K
Potential profit: $10.69K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$2.97K

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $5.35K
Potential payout: $16.04K
Potential profit: $10.69K
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: -$2.68K

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $14.18K
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: -$970.35

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $250.14
Potential payout: $10.21K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$72.38

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $929.14
Potential payout: $5.75K
Potential profit: $4.82K
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: -$351.37

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $266.97
Potential payout: $4.73K
Potential profit: $4.46K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$85.24

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $37.05
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$30.13

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $32.43
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$9.15

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $10.04
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$8.02

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $8.09
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$10.9

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $906.94
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $303.12
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$39.3

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $46.54
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $999.29
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$62.24

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $991.5
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$15.1

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $29.09
Potential payout: $986.17
Potential profit: $957.08
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $11.83

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $19.35
Potential payout: $860.17
Potential profit: $840.82
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $644.17
Potential profit: $639.98
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $27.96
Potential payout: $644.17
Potential profit: $616.21
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $24.37

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $644.17
Potential profit: $639.98
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $6.76
Potential payout: $644.17
Potential profit: $637.41
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $644.17
Potential profit: $639.34
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $644.17
Potential profit: $639.34
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $644.17
Potential profit: $639.98
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $377.49K

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $346.99K

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $284.5K

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $159.91K

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.1K

No position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.59K

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.81K

No position

Solana ETF approved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.79K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.78K

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.96K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.39K

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.67K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.53K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.61K

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.38K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.61K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?

Ends Jul 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.43K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.17K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.68K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.88K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.33K

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22K

No position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.93K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.28K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.9% 644.17 shares
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7% 16.88 shares
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.6% 60 shares
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8% 60 shares
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.6% 120 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Yes 13% 95.33 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 45% 555 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

No 83% 63.64 shares
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?

Yes 0.8% 37.52 shares
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?

Yes 0.9% 7.56 shares
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?

Yes 1% 6.77 shares
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?

Yes 0.9% 19.33 shares