No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $12.94K
- Potential profit
- $12.93K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$253.53
Polymarket Trader
Schmusekater
0x5e9fb540c4bb19e819a29ddec926a517dcbb1775
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.47
- Realized PnL
- -$736.12
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.58
Yes position
Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.4
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.52
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
No position
Will US leave NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
Yes position
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Trump divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
Zelenskyy impeached before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 2% 12,936.36 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 66% 757.58 shares
- Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?No 82% 59.71 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes 8% 250 shares
- Trump divorce in 2025?No 91% 109.89 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No 91% 109.89 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 71% 140.85 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 91% 109.89 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No 81% 123.52 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?Yes 87.7% 22.81 shares
- Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?No 83.7% 59.71 shares
- Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?Yes 44.9% 111.4 shares