ubiwajem

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $309.68
Potential profit: $309.53
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $309.68
Potential profit: $308.91
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$27.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $309.68
Potential profit: $309.22
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$27.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $309.68
Potential profit: $308.6
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$27.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $289.68
Potential profit: $289.54
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $289.68
Potential profit: $289.54
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $199.68
Potential profit: $199.38
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$17.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.8
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$8.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.8
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$8.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $99.69
Potential profit: $99.54
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $88.74
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$6.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $87.94
Potential profit: $87.85
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$7.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $87.94
Potential profit: $87.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $87.94
Potential profit: $87.54
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$7.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $87.94
Potential profit: $87.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $87.94
Potential profit: $84.51
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or below on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $87.94
Potential profit: $87.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $87.94
Potential profit: $87.54
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$7.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $85.37
Potential profit: $84.55
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$6.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or higher on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $84.5
Potential profit: $84.29
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $83.44
Potential profit: $83.39
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $83.44
Potential profit: $83.39
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $83.44
Potential profit: $83.39
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 5?