Polymarket Trader

ppyiago

0x5ea8343bf0c91b8dec32b35e6cd281cd4e069e5f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $879.05
Realized PnL: $5.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $397.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $2.2
User PnL: $51.4

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $210.04
Potential payout: $328.19
Potential profit: $118.15
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $6.56

No position

Junya Itō: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$85.8

No position

Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $81.05
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $3.95
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $24.6

No position

Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $55.2
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $24.8

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $51.3
Potential payout: $53.11
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $34.72
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $14.42

No position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $30.8
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $18.14
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.86
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $6.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3PM ET

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11AM ET

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9AM ET

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12PM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7PM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2PM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5AM ET

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7PM ET

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12PM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8PM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12AM ET

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9AM ET

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8PM ET

Ends Jul 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1PM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3PM ET

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10AM ET

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1PM ET

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7PM ET

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10AM ET

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5PM ET

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?

No 86% 100 shares
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 1 Japan?

No 85% 100 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 63% 15.87 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 48% 20.83 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 50% 20 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 55% 18.18 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 62% 16.13 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 42% 23.81 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 66% 45.45 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 40% 25 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 72% 20 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 66% 89.86 shares