Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $991.65
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $203.11
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$8.35
Polymarket Trader
0x5eC0ffA7bB40F248DF30ABac9437b476f1c9f6e0-1723305230884
0x5ec0ffa7bb40f248df30abac9437b476f1c9f6e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $991.65
- Realized PnL
- $1.42K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.67
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.67
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.11
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.36
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.04
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
No position
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.99
Yes position
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.28
Yes position
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$6.52
Yes position
Israel military action on Yemen before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.51
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.12
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.89
Yes position
Iran military response by Monday?
Ends Aug 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.96
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$305
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 83.7% 1,194.76 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?No 12% 416.67 shares
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Yes 69.5% 719.41 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 2.4% 208.33 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 34% 882.35 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 50.7% 986.34 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 24.8% 201.61 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes 20.3% 256.41 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 47% 285.11 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes 3.9% 256.41 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes 12% 416.67 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Yes 0.7% 2,302.86 shares