Polymarket Trader

S3LFMADE

@PiciTheCat

0x5ec945de64f30cd10a99affe133f338d25b575c7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $4.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $3.81K
User PnL: -$17.75

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$3.45

LIU Sharks position

LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $851
Potential profit: $851
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $747.61
Potential profit: $747.61
User PnL: -$168

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639
Potential profit: $639
User PnL: -$16.22

Akron Zips position

Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $599.98
User PnL: -$1.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $549.98
Potential profit: $549.98
User PnL: -$108.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $505.99
Potential profit: $505.99
User PnL: -$211.4

Yes position

Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $498.78
Potential profit: $498.78
User PnL: -$58.56

Yes position

Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $468.54
Potential profit: $468.54
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $413.08
Potential profit: $413.08
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Backpack launch a token on March 24?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.56
Potential profit: $402.56
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.2

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.4%
Multiplier: 3.19x
User PnL: $377.59

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.8

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.52

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $239.13

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $231.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.92

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $208.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.4

Yes position

Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.33

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.91

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.1

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.74

No position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.08

No position

Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 30.6% 2,020.14 shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 31.5% 53.89 shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 19.8% 774.4 shares
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 3.4% 1,299.75 shares
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 31.6% 384.3 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?

Yes 10.1% 493.44 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?

Yes 46.4% 254.17 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?

No 32.1% 389.12 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?

No 2.6% 389.12 shares
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Yes 25.7% 2,355.38 shares
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Yes 42.5% 2,355.39 shares
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 4% 1,299.98 shares