No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $43.75K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $6.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $22.31K
Polymarket Trader
0xdc3E831cad
0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.89K
- Realized PnL
- $545.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.1K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.69K
No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.2%
- Current value
- $8.47K
- Potential payout
- $9.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $834.26
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $6.79K
- Potential payout
- $8.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $1.82K
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $5.57K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $5.04K
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.68K
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $40.29
- Potential payout
- $6.2K
- Potential profit
- $6.16K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $282.03
- Potential payout
- $6.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.92K
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $236.66
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $40.29
- Potential payout
- $6.2K
- Potential profit
- $6.16K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $71.28
- Potential payout
- $6.2K
- Potential profit
- $6.13K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $25.92
Yes position
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $40.29
- Potential payout
- $6.2K
- Potential profit
- $6.16K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $71.28
- Potential payout
- $6.2K
- Potential profit
- $6.13K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $25.92
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $52.69
- Potential payout
- $6.2K
- Potential profit
- $6.15K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $7.32
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.7%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $5.95K
- Potential profit
- $4.48K
- Multiplier
- 4.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.78K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- User PnL
- -$138.91
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.58K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- User PnL
- -$138.91
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- User PnL
- -$138.91
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- User PnL
- -$138.91
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $117.36
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $820.03
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$30.55
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $29
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$24.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.89K
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.07K
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.91K
Yes position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.55K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.57K
Yes position
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.88K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.36K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.06K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.64K
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.01K
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.69K
Yes position
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.91K
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.28K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.47K
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78K
Yes position
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.61K
Yes position
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5K
Yes position
Will APT. by Rosé and Bruno Mars be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.68K
Yes position
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.43K
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.18K
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.87K
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.36K
Yes position
Will Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.59K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?Yes 5.2% 115.88 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No 0.5% 9,515.25 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?Yes 43.2% 7.69 shares
- Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No 98.2% 1,008.17 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 94.7% 1,104.18 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No 91% 1,662.04 shares
- Will none of the eaglets hatch before April 17?No 95% 38.98 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No 48% 1,743.3 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No 49.5% 57.4 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No 49.9% 295.97 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No 49.9% 84.72 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No 49.9% 663.42 shares