Polymarket Trader

0x5eDF4CA130DbEEfbaFf0BFEC69Eb015599173a0C-1759463565861

0x5edf4ca130dbeefbaff0bfec69eb015599173a0c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.58
Realized PnL: $149.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $7.93
Potential payout: $236.85
Potential profit: $228.91
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $19.9
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.06

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.88
Potential profit: $13.88
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $2.71
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $10.45
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$2.29

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.64
Potential profit: $4.64
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.54

Yes position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.22

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44

No position

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Red Wings position

Red Wings vs. Rangers

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Broncos position

Raiders vs. Broncos

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will Derek Lunsford win Mr. Olympia 2025?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.32

49ers position

Falcons vs. 49ers

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will Fiona Ma advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

49ers position

49ers vs. Giants

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

No position

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Bo Nickal position

UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 51% 9.8 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

Bo Nickal 73% 6.85 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Sean OMalley 79% 6.33 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Josh Hokit 78% 6.41 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 23.81 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Michael Chandler 20% 25 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 46% 10.87 shares
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 45.5% 20.49 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 24.4% 20.49 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

No 44% 11.36 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 57% 8.77 shares