No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $10.92K
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- User PnL
- $32.11
Polymarket Trader
selador
@SeladorEth
0x5eec1b59273669498cd2cbdda7947a46087ef4e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $56.14K
- Realized PnL
- $5.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $10.91K
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $93.5
- User PnL
- $52.77
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $8.99K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- User PnL
- $33.12
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $7.49K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $62.31
No position
JD Vance out as VP by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- $24.27
No position
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- User PnL
- $7.15
No position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.1K
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $14.8
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9.16
No position
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- User PnL
- $13.84
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $53.41
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $18.99
No position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $924.24
- Potential payout
- $930.29
- Potential profit
- $6.05
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $793.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $6.8
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $447.84
- Potential payout
- $449.86
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $406.96
- Potential payout
- $435.25
- Potential profit
- $28.29
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $23.14
No position
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $159.36
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $118.74
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $74.63
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $64.64
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $39.76
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will BNY fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $29.79
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $19.78
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Lloyds fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $19.87
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $450.98
No position
Will Russia enter Khatnie by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.1
No position
Will Russia enter Khatnie by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.13
No position
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.35
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.41
No position
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $224.24
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $220.47
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.87
N
No position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.23
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.58
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.37
No position
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.1
No position
Will Marco Rubio visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.92
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.2
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.89
No position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.16
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $133.79
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.67
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.21
No position
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.94
No position
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.93
No position
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.45
No position
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 93.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 10,000 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 22?No 99% 20 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 18?No 99.8% 50 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on June 18?No 99.9% 229.78 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 17?Yes 99.5% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 1,500 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 5,150 shares
- Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No 99.5% 500 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 16?Yes 99.9% 350 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 16?Yes 99.9% 150 shares
- Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No 99.1% 1,000 shares