Polymarket Trader

0x212

0x5eefef72d44bba181a56ca19902da75b3cf327f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $367.04
Realized PnL: $1.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $238.36
Potential payout: $257.69
Potential profit: $19.33
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $53.36

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $13.42
Potential payout: $178.87
Potential profit: $165.46
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$77.39

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $78.76
Potential payout: $94.32
Potential profit: $15.56
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $12.76

No position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.98
Potential profit: $71.98
User PnL: -$50

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $58.28
Potential profit: $51.58
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$8.3

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $44.52
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $16.58
Potential payout: $43.23
Potential profit: $26.65
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $1.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.58
Potential profit: $39.58
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $24.19
Potential profit: $19.13
Multiplier: 4.77x
User PnL: $2.07

Canada position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $15.27
Potential profit: $10.21
Multiplier: 3.02x
User PnL: $0.06

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.36

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.82

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.24

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.44

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.41

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.96

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.85

No position

Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.53

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.64

Yes position

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.93

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.33

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.55

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.3

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.1

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.93

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.92

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.02

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

No position

Will Israel annex Gazan territory before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.65

No position

Will Trump launch an NFT before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 42.3% 25.64 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 32.7% 15.27 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 19.5% 25.64 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?

No 73.6% 54.32 shares
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 8.5% 11.76 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Portugal 35% 14.29 shares
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Brazil 31% 16.13 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.4% 24.19 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34.7% 43.23 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

No 16% 31.25 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 72.8% 41.19 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 65% 30.79 shares