Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $26.72
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Polymarket Trader
VLZH
0x5ef9e343220232645819e3eeddb730078ee24ebe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.79
- Realized PnL
- -$48.04
- Win rate
- 55%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $16.1
- Potential payout
- $17.79
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $15.76
- Potential payout
- $16.86
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $10.27
- Potential payout
- $11.48
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $1.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.08
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will Delyan Peevski be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Kostadin Kostadinov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.23
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 82% 6.1 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 86% 1.16 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
- Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No 91% 5.49 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 35.1% 64.86 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 20.4% 24.51 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares