Polymarket Trader

cezarn132

0x5f176a980de5b25f89f17473e5e8adef565c519e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $138.25K
Realized PnL: $181.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.32K
Potential profit: $73.32K
User PnL: -$66.18K

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $40.54K
Potential payout: $52.65K
Potential profit: $12.11K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $2.22K

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $32.57K
Potential payout: $36.59K
Potential profit: $4.03K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $10.12K

No position

Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $12.67K
Potential payout: $12.71K
Potential profit: $31.76
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $12.52K
Potential payout: $12.62K
Potential profit: $100.93
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $12.42K
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $81.27
User PnL: $921.72

No position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $8.65K
Potential payout: $8.72K
Potential profit: $78.51
User PnL: $1.55K

No position

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $8.03K
Potential payout: $8.1K
Potential profit: $68.84
User PnL: $2.28K

No position

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $3.96K
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $298.43
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $764.86

No position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $375.16
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $473.95

No position

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $343.32
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $645.5

No position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $22.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $306.97

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $11.64
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.4%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $3.46
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58
Potential profit: $1.58
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.43K

France position

Euro Basket: France vs Poland

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.6K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $19.69K

Yes position

Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.55K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.44K

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.13K

No position

Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6K

No position

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59K

Yes position

Will Chelsea beat PSG?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41K

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37K

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01K

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76K

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-06?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53K

Yes position

Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14K

No position

Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-12-18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01K

No position

Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-12-18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4K

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93K

No position

Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78K

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

No 97.4% 24,419.01 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

No 0.6% 4,071.28 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Yes 78% 1.28 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

No 97.3% 26,723.24 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 81.8% 61,133.49 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 97.6% 37,592.91 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Yes 60.3% 29,372.66 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 96.9% 27,659.5 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

No 73.7% 4,069.89 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

No 72% 1.39 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

No 89% 1.12 shares