Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $6.63K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $43.38K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.88K
Polymarket Trader
dpnd
@dpnd_poly
0x5f211a24da4c005d9438a1ea269673b85ed0b376
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.04K
- Realized PnL
- $32.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $90.71
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$62.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $53.34
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Yes position
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $25.15
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$58.86
Yes position
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $28.08
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$63.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- User PnL
- -$60.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- User PnL
- -$14.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- User PnL
- -$50.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$8.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $84.5
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- $61.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $14.53
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$18.58
Yes position
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $110.37
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$40.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$38.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$13.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$9.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$5.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.86
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$20.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$9.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02K
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 59°F or higher on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 59°F or higher on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $969.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $965.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $939.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $844.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on June 18?Yes 0.5% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 11% 36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 18?Yes 6% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?Yes 9% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?Yes 51% 16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 17?Yes 6% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 17?Yes 33% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?Yes 2.1% 6.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?Yes 13% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?Yes 23% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?Yes 26% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 17?Yes 6.6% 15.59 shares