Polymarket Trader

bernabeomcteague

0x5f25622f470dba78eaad6dcdddbfc08e0ab88f1d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $237.83
Realized PnL: $63.5
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287
Potential profit: $287
User PnL: -$67.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.75
Potential profit: $188.75
User PnL: -$7.93

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $126
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $24
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $34.7

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $8.63
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $141.38
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$47.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$51.7

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$14.7

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $99.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.55
User PnL: $18.45

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$72.8

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$47.5

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $89
User PnL: -$22.25

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$11.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.24
Potential profit: $49.24
User PnL: -$15.6

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$20.3

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.88
Potential profit: $31.88
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of June 1 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.25

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Bitcoin above 76,600 on May 26, 12PM ET?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.32

Down position

XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.32

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 26?

Yes 60.9% 150 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 26?

Yes 31% 50 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on June 26?

No 81% 100 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 25?

Yes 13% 100 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 25?

Yes 34.1% 140 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 24?

Yes 53% 50 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 24?

Yes 27% 50 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 24?

Yes 47% 19.99 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 24?

Yes 46% 100 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 24?

Yes 24.9% 117 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 24?

Yes 21% 120 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 23?

Yes 47.5% 100 shares