Polymarket Trader

MartiniVan

@MartinI00280250

0x5f2c1eccc289f3f6095050663d8340fc6923db73

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $86.15
Realized PnL: $385.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $599.99
User PnL: -$48.5

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495
Potential profit: $495
User PnL: -$136.95

Yes position

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$37.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $82.55
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $47.45
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $34.45

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $20.4
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $1.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.04

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.29

No position

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 37% 15 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 18% 40.32 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 96.5% 200 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

No 6.5% 500 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 86% 50 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

No 21% 195 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 99.8% 27 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 99.5% 9.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Up 50% 5.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Up 35% 5.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Down 44% 4.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Up 21% 9.9 shares