Polymarket Trader

mikedanshin

0x5f32eaa3434bf1b1d0637a8503e1e1014386583f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $394.65
Realized PnL: $254.61
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $961.54
Potential profit: $961.54
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $32.43
Potential payout: $682.73
Potential profit: $650.3
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$17.57

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $46.81
Potential payout: $620
Potential profit: $573.19
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $79.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $420.25
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $31.25

Yes position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $33.93
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $323.21
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$16.07

Yes position

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.4%
Current value: $52.74
Potential payout: $342.47
Potential profit: $289.73
Multiplier: 6.49x
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cameroon win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.05
Potential profit: $187.05
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $143.06
Potential profit: $142.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$40.99

Yes position

Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $36.95
Potential payout: $131.97
Potential profit: $95.02
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $17.16

Yes position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.71
Potential profit: $125.71
User PnL: -$6.15

Yes position

Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.21
Potential profit: $122.21
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $82.94
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $33.06
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$6.38

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.71
Potential profit: $85.71
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.71
Potential profit: $82.71
User PnL: -$11.58

No position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $43.75
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$27.65

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $59.72
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.58
Potential profit: $53.58
User PnL: -$8.23

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$14.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62

No position

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.25

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $25.9

Yes position

Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.11

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.63

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.68

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

No position

Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.81

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

Yes position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (December 22 - 28)

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 22 - 28)

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.09

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 82% 15 shares
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 60% 100 shares
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15% 131.97 shares
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Yes 14% 357.14 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8% 170.42 shares
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 14.6% 342.47 shares
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 65% 5 shares
Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 77% 54.35 shares
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?

No 63% 50 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 500 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 28.7% 143.06 shares
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

No 77% 70 shares