No position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $497.02
- Potential payout
- $595.24
- Potential profit
- $98.21
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Polymarket Trader
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527
0x5f3ee9c40be255d1c18ca38bf4ab94b564c75337
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.63K
- Realized PnL
- $1.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $502.32
- Potential payout
- $590.96
- Potential profit
- $88.64
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $24.82
No position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $499.74
- Potential payout
- $519.75
- Potential profit
- $20.01
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $502.81
- Potential payout
- $511.25
- Potential profit
- $8.44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $311.81
- Potential payout
- $424.23
- Potential profit
- $112.42
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $389.7
- Potential payout
- $419.03
- Potential profit
- $29.33
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $354.43
- Potential payout
- $416.98
- Potential profit
- $62.55
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.57
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $271.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $28.35
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Current value
- $270.74
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $29.25
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $7.55
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $147
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $152.99
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $238.39
- Potential payout
- $297.99
- Potential profit
- $59.6
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $218.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $236.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $13.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $215.8
- Potential payout
- $218.86
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $18.82
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $146.57
- Potential payout
- $169.44
- Potential profit
- $22.88
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $16.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $149.93
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $111.69
No position
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $141.04
- Potential payout
- $148
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $146.85
- Potential payout
- $147
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $13.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $129.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$57.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $63
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $89.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $10.55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $14.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $53.95
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $96.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $18.65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $66.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $33.5
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.68
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.84
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Multiplier
- 10.26x
- User PnL
- $92.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.64
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.31
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No 84% 59.62 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No 87% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?Yes 36% 41.07 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?No 84% 595.24 shares
- Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?No 96.2% 519.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?Yes 63% 12.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?Yes 44% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?Yes 25.5% 150 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?Yes 46% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?Yes 44% 71.5 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?No 84% 119.05 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?Yes 91% 54.95 shares