Polymarket Trader

0x5f4505F23e8f94D65291C8E3c764d61f1D22cAbc-1733732329692

0x5f4505f23e8f94d65291c8e3c764d61f1d22cabc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.35K
Realized PnL: $1.51K
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.42K
Potential profit: $29.42K
User PnL: -$9.41K

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.57K
Potential profit: $21.57K
User PnL: -$3.9K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $197.58
Potential payout: $11.29K
Potential profit: $11.09K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$152.41

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $722.47
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $10.39K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.28K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $11.11K
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$3.06K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $3.1K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $107.44
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $99.82

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$650.26

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $231.97
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $31.97

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $533.33
Potential profit: $533.33
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$443.1

Yes position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $196.08
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $98.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32K

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.87

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.75

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.2

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.33

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.02

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.95

Yes position

Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$126.71

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$226.51

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$961.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.85K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

46.9% 1,574.05 shares
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? AND Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

9.8% 9,884.04 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners AND England leading at halftime?

4.2% 10,414.76 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.7% 1,360.54 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 11,111.11 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 11,290.32 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

41% 1,219.51 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.5% 3,207.26 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Yes 51% 196.08 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

47.8% 523.01 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 30% 533.33 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 25% 2,000 shares