No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $9.69
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Polymarket Trader
p4-weather
0x5f526efc2acae9bf84b308a63ae1a0390f45292d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $122.42
- Realized PnL
- $50.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $9.66
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?No 95.3% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 14?No 97% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 14?No 97% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 14?No 95% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 14?No 96% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 14?No 97% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 14?No 97.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 14?No 95.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 14?No 95% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 14?No 97.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 14?No 98.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 14?No 97.7% 5 shares