Polymarket Trader

Marcelix

0x5f537c4759acd360a978074f563631d2f1c3f9fa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.21K
Realized PnL: $719.64
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $523.11
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 4.49x
User PnL: -$176.88

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $494.21
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $194.22

Yes position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $39.92
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$360.07

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $686.33
Potential profit: $686.33
User PnL: -$141.63

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $86
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $314
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.15
Potential profit: $354.15
User PnL: -$169.92

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $10.26
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $246.15
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$79.74

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $232.56
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Haiti?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.91
Potential profit: $200.91
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Neymar Jr: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $60.9
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $67.31
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $10.9

Yes position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $678

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

No position

Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.71

Yes position

Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.21

Yes position

Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.56

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.86

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.57

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $33.83

Yes position

Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$2.44

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$15.23

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$37.89

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$82.76

Yes position

Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$365.63

Yes position

Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$398.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 1,149.42 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.8% 662.25 shares
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 35% 285.71 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 39% 128.21 shares
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 28.8% 344.82 shares
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 37% 270 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?

Yes 10.7% 186.2 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 35% 142.86 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?

Yes 43% 232.56 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.8% 304.88 shares
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 29% 344.83 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 24.1% 415.02 shares