Polymarket Trader

TheSmartBettor

0x5f55544895afde0bda060e17222d93d8a808580c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.42K
Realized PnL: $1.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $6.42K
Potential payout: $11.57K
Potential profit: $5.15K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $389.98

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $456.05
Potential profit: $456.05
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.26
Potential profit: $401.26
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241.69
Potential profit: $241.69
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Big Game: Scorigami?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.78
Potential profit: $107.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.98
Potential profit: $85.98
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.6
Potential profit: $70.6
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.63
Potential profit: $69.63
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.32
Potential profit: $51.32
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.67
Potential profit: $35.67
User PnL: -$8.85

Under position

Big Game: First TD Scorer Jersey Number O/U 19.5

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.57
Potential profit: $34.57
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.22
Potential profit: $34.22
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.04
Potential profit: $23.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$10.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $6.59
User PnL: -$1.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.13

Yes position

Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.47

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.44

Yes position

Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.39

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina position

BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Zachary Svajda

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.73

Yes position

Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.54

Yes position

Will "Anora" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

No position

Will Sam Altman attend Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.51

Even position

Big Game: Odd/Even Total Points

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Yes position

Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.24

Yes position

Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.31

No position

Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.15

No position

Will "Jump ball" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

Yes position

Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Under position

Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Under position

National Anthem O/U 120.5 seconds

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

No position

Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 9.5

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Heads position

Big Game: Coin Toss

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.94

Yes position

Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Will Danny DeVito attend Super Bowl LIX?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Djo attend Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 28.7% 69.63 shares
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 2.2% 456.05 shares
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 35% 57.14 shares
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Zachary Svajda

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 63% 158.73 shares
Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 9.5

No 40% 17.5 shares
Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Yes 1% 53.48 shares
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5

Yes 1% 45.54 shares
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5

Yes 43.9% 45.55 shares
Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Yes 37.4% 53.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Up 30% 6.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Up 99% 1.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Up 54% 1.82 shares