No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.54K
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- User PnL
- $92.25
Polymarket Trader
DrA11c0m3
0x5f57dcc67390381a480c0f735831279d22bdfd0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.25K
- Realized PnL
- $1.4K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$503
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $575
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $123.98
- Potential payout
- $999.84
- Potential profit
- $875.86
- Multiplier
- 8.06x
- User PnL
- -$395.94
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $575.98
- Potential payout
- $892.99
- Potential profit
- $317.01
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $75.9
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$525
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $542.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $157.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $24.5
No position
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $623.69
- Potential payout
- $659.99
- Potential profit
- $36.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $89.1
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $624.68
- Potential payout
- $645
- Potential profit
- $20.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $31.28
No position
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $583.47
- Potential payout
- $610
- Potential profit
- $26.53
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $83.27
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $599.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $77.7
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $498.55
- Potential payout
- $590
- Potential profit
- $91.45
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$8.85
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $580
- Potential profit
- $580
- User PnL
- -$516.2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $569.43
- Potential payout
- $570
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- User PnL
- $27.93
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $548.08
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- User PnL
- $42.08
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $548.63
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- User PnL
- $48.13
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $520
- User PnL
- -$400.4
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$310
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$330
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $442.49
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $57.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.7%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $4.53
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.5
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.8
No position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $168.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.8
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $98
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.2
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.87
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.16
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.71
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.7
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
No position
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.48
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.64
No position
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $20.16
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.17
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$191.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 92% 550 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No 25% 308.15 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No 26% 131.58 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No 27% 462.01 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No 28% 210 shares
- Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No 84% 303 shares
- Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No 99.2% 12.98 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No 76% 261.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 99.4% 550 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 99.2% 599.99 shares
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No 90% 100 shares
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No 89.8% 404.08 shares