Polymarket Trader

RavenBaxter

@ravenbaxterpm

0x5f716b88a6be9f09404661ebd63a6e88d9dc1016

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $338.38
Realized PnL: $9.66K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$172.11

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $803.54
Potential profit: $803.54
User PnL: -$273.84

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.8%
Current value: $327.1
Potential payout: $512.69
Potential profit: $185.59
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $153.38

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.02
Potential profit: $145.02
User PnL: -$22

Lakers position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Trump say "Pelé" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.03
Potential profit: $62.03
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Draymond Green play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $11.28
Potential payout: $50.26
Potential profit: $38.97
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: -$6.31

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.75
Potential profit: $41.75
User PnL: -$1.67

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.28
Potential profit: $40.28
User PnL: -$7

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.94
Potential profit: $10.94
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33K

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $865.75

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $725.21

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $626.35

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.42

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $557.28

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $142.36

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.45

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.75

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.04

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.78

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.07

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.58

No position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.61

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.99

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.82

Yes position

Will Michael Anton be next National Security Advisor?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.22

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "Charlie / Kirk" 15+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Draymond Green play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 35% 50.26 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 63.8% 62.7 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 56.8% 25 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 51.4% 40 shares
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?

No 0.3% 8.35 shares
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?

No 3.9% 258.35 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 58.6% 18 shares
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?

No 0.2% 8.8 shares
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?

No 1.9% 508.8 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 58.9% 17 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 61.7% 50 shares
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?

No 8% 9.7 shares