No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.24
- Potential payout
- $11.32
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Polymarket Trader
29185
0x5f7649783c99f80a2d6f437fb68dd921ec80ebb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.3
- Realized PnL
- $9.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times November 1-8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Bitcoin all time high by Friday?
Ends May 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Sam Altman settle with his sister before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Obama divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Israel military action against Iran in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Caitlin Clark endorse Kamala Harris?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Iran military response before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% Friday?
Ends Sep 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Menendez brother released from custody before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Javad Zarif be the next President of Iran?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 1.06 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes 82% 1.22 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 99.4% 2.34 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 11.32 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes 88% 2.27 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No 99.8% 5.01 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?No 99.5% 2.01 shares
- Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No 92% 1.41 shares
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes 97.7% 2.05 shares
- Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes 95.7% 2.09 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?No 98.9% 2.02 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes 96.5% 1.04 shares