Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0x5F7Bf33F595CD07AC2946A96bA2f41dAee57ea70-1768727292660
0x5f7bf33f595cd07ac2946a96ba2f41daee57ea70
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $118.54
- Realized PnL
- $402.81
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$200
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $685.84
- Potential profit
- $685.84
- User PnL
- -$409.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.51
- Potential profit
- $245.51
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $99.99
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $44.94
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.5
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $91.39
- Potential profit
- $81.34
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.51
- Potential profit
- $74.51
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.66
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.92
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
Yes position
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.25
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.02
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 4AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$131.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes 10.9% 91.39 shares
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No 69% 144.93 shares
- Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?Yes 60.5% 165.25 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 71.1% 421.92 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No 58% 17.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETDown 48.7% 42.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown 69% 144.93 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown 61% 163.93 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown 42% 238.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETUp 33.6% 74.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown 79.2% 6.31 shares