Polymarket Trader

timonkosmon

0x5f88abaa08e8450f8a7c582165cba13df085da69

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $645.75
Realized PnL: $2.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$10.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $520.75
Potential payout: $520.75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $20.75

No position

Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $335.05
Potential profit: $335.05
User PnL: -$172.43

No position

Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320.64
Potential profit: $320.64
User PnL: -$283

Yes position

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.38
Potential profit: $304.38
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.67
Potential profit: $267.67
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.7
Potential profit: $211.7
User PnL: -$20.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.79
Potential profit: $207.79
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$118

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.08
Potential profit: $170.08
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.2
Potential profit: $161.2
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.45
Potential profit: $147.45
User PnL: -$14.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.28
Potential profit: $143.28
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.12
Potential profit: $140.12
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.5
Potential profit: $132.5
User PnL: -$18.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $123
User PnL: -$8.61

Yes position

Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.21
Potential profit: $121.21
User PnL: -$4.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.5
Potential profit: $116.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.33
Potential profit: $115.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.99
Potential profit: $112.99
User PnL: -$2.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.39

No position

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.77

Yes position

Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.82

No position

Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.32

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.85

No position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.47

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.27

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.05

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.43

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.63

No position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.84

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 38% 26.3 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Yes 27.2% 18.39 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 5.9% 16.95 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 10?

No 54% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 10?

No 56% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8?

Yes 96% 520.75 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 5?

Yes 5.6% 17.87 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 4?

No 99.9% 136.66 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 78.9% 41.35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 76% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 4?

Yes 73.3% 54.58 shares