Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $488.29
- Potential payout
- $195.32K
- Potential profit
- $194.83K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Polymarket Trader
1234ab
0x5f8ec8b9c07547d93ac7206ef75c1b625e6021b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $322.85K
- Realized PnL
- $236.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $97.66
- Potential payout
- $195.32K
- Potential profit
- $195.22K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$630.09
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $100.53K
- Potential payout
- $100.99K
- Potential profit
- $454.43
- User PnL
- $111.99
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $93.49K
- Potential payout
- $93.82K
- Potential profit
- $328.36
- User PnL
- $571.35
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $90.4K
- Potential payout
- $90.71K
- Potential profit
- $317.5
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $360.76
- Potential payout
- $90.19K
- Potential profit
- $89.83K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$77.56
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $16.89K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $6.89K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $3.11K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $16.89K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$6.89K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $7.28
- Potential payout
- $14.56K
- Potential profit
- $14.55K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$31.34
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $21.3
- Potential payout
- $14.2K
- Potential profit
- $14.18K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$71.43
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.74K
- Potential payout
- $9.75K
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- User PnL
- $89.01
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $6.68K
- Potential profit
- $5.44K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $192.6
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.51K
- Potential payout
- $6.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$107.98
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $22.59
- Potential payout
- $550.86
- Potential profit
- $528.27
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$269.76
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $520.12
- Potential payout
- $550.1
- Potential profit
- $29.98
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $276.92
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $549.71
- Potential profit
- $547.51
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $439.31
- Potential profit
- $437.77
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$92.92
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $428.24
- Potential profit
- $426.74
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$34.06
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $428.17
- Potential profit
- $427.1
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.28
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $424.37
- Potential profit
- $423.74
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$17.96
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $418.91
- Potential payout
- $424
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $207.26
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $424
- Potential profit
- $422.73
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$26.92
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $340
- User PnL
- -$19.63
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $340
- User PnL
- -$112.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $42.02K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $35.87K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.11K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.79K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.3K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.37K
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.24K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.25K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52K
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $5.97K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47K
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.32K
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $828
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $771.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 1,600 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 1,601.61 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 1,600 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No 99.1% 1.6 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 1,560 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 1,564.7 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 1,560 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 2,006.03 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 2,000 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No 99% 1,106.66 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes 0.7% 1,110.71 shares