Polymarket Trader

Pitpost

0x5f9a0fb1ffdb00ff5f51ac48f6faadbfd2d3a04e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.58
Realized PnL: $0.98
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.21
Potential profit: $76.21
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.04
Potential profit: $44.04
User PnL: -$9.69

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $35.22
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.54
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump release the sanctioned oil tanker by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

No 0.7% 142.86 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 17.54 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 42% 4.76 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 10% 10 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 0.3% 5.88 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Yes 22% 42.62 shares