Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.73K
- Potential profit
- $200.73K
- User PnL
- -$10.4K
Polymarket Trader
0x5F9D8C4816c3470e02D1902FDDD277996723Dd7C-1721486096954
0x5f9d8c4816c3470e02d1902fddd277996723dd7c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $305.65
- Realized PnL
- -$127.06
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $21.55
- Potential payout
- $21.55K
- Potential profit
- $21.53K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$52.4
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.12K
- Potential profit
- $17.12K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$115.81
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$48.5
Yes position
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $233.43
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$16.43
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$37.36
Yes position
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$65.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$9.04
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $23.75
- Potential payout
- $950
- Potential profit
- $926.25
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$33.25
No position
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $775
- Potential profit
- $775
- User PnL
- -$28.61
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $694.74
- Potential profit
- $694.74
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
X Money launch in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $417.78
- Potential profit
- $417.78
- User PnL
- -$81
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $26.91
- Potential payout
- $358.86
- Potential profit
- $331.94
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$23.33
No position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243
- Potential profit
- $243
- User PnL
- -$17.01
Yes position
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?
Ends Dec 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.91
- Potential profit
- $69.91
- User PnL
- -$17.48
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.25
- Potential profit
- $36.25
- User PnL
- -$7.25
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $4.84
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.84
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.57
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$4.27
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.86
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.82
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.96
Yes position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.4
Yes position
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 13,615.49 shares
- Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes 13% 12 shares
- Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.3% 944.56 shares
- Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.6% 276 shares
- Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 1.1% 53.2 shares
- Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.8% 30 shares
- Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.4% 134.28 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.6% 909 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.8% 500 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.4% 409 shares