Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $317.64
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $57.77
Polymarket Trader
ansatz
@AnsatzPM
0x5fa44ddbefd7c2962719dfbe14b9f164104dcd4e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.19K
- Realized PnL
- $443.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $183.81
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- $3.54
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $236.33
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $92.86
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $87.25
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$46.77
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $234.63
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$25.35
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $90.63
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.69
Yes position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $499.76
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $26.73
Yes position
Mamdani team sweeps primaries?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $817.79
- Potential payout
- $822.31
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- User PnL
- $543.49
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $473.39
- Potential profit
- $473.15
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.89
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $208.26
- Potential profit
- $206.7
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $179.92
- Potential payout
- $208
- Potential profit
- $28.08
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $31.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $27.84
- Potential payout
- $206.25
- Potential profit
- $178.4
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $197.3
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $107
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $93
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $19.5
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $194.3
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.6
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $195.49
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $141.75
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $50.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $149.35
- Potential profit
- $147.63
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.1%
- Current value
- $106.54
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $33.46
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $136.5
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $34.7
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $81.89
- Potential payout
- $139.99
- Potential profit
- $58.1
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $26.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $76.62
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.6
No position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.33
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.4
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.5
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.95
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $14.8
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $11.6
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- $9.33
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $8.77
No position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.73
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.46
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $8.31
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.52
N
No position
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.98
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $5.81
No position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 0.1% 113.92 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 208.26 shares
- Mamdani team sweeps primaries?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 5.7% 416.8 shares
- Mamdani team sweeps primaries?Yes 49% 20.91 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99.6% 100 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 2% 39.38 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Mamdani team sweeps primaries?Yes 40% 44.8 shares
- Mamdani team sweeps primaries?Yes 38.7% 32.12 shares
- Mamdani team sweeps primaries?Yes 33.2% 308.13 shares
- Mamdani team sweeps primaries?Yes 31.5% 205.59 shares