bertross

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$80.06

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $50 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.46
Potential profit: $666.46
User PnL: -$46.65

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $423.17
Potential profit: $423.17
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $285.95
Potential profit: $285.09
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$4.14

Yes position

Will "Mobile Suit Gundam GQuuuuuuX" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.13
Potential profit: $285.13
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $60 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261.38
Potential profit: $261.38
User PnL: -$47.05

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.75
Potential profit: $258.75
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.68
Potential profit: $169.68
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $36.8
Potential payout: $87.63
Potential profit: $50.82
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$8.2

Yes position

Kash Patel out by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.66
Potential profit: $81.66
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $81.23
Potential profit: $79.24
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$29.24

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.07
Potential profit: $77.07
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $54
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $10.13
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $64.88
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $68.63
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $74.1
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $34.13
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $40.88
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $12.38
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $62.63
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.69

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.21

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.83

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.97

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

Yes position

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

Yes position

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.66

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

No position

Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Robert Valentin position

UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Gauge Young position

UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Ketlen Vieira position

UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

Tamara Korpatsch position

Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Marcio Barbosa position

UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa (Featherweight, Prelims)