Polymarket Trader

Kuka-tira-piedras-2

0x5fad89d81d5736fae075125116a7e17fde5a66d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.03
Realized PnL: $40.18
Win rate: 73.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

L1ga Team position

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $2

Elsa Jacquemot position

Contrexeville: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Elsa Jacquemot

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Daniel Tazabekov position

ITF Lodz: Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Daniel Tazabekov

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Down position

BNB Up or Down - July 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $349.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $205.2
Potential profit: $202.12
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.87

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$1.6

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.13
Potential profit: $142.13
User PnL: -$4.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.7
Potential profit: $104.7
User PnL: -$3.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $7.17
Potential payout: $39.97
Potential profit: $32.79
Multiplier: 5.57x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $26.82
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$0.04

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.63
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.63

Down position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.21
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.93

Down position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.19
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.69

No position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $2.33

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $3.87
Potential payout: $6.72
Potential profit: $2.86
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82.1%
Current value: $5.49
Potential payout: $6.69
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $2.66
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $4.52
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $3.37
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Karolina Muchova position

Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg position

Iasi: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Alexander Donski

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Coco Gauff position

Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Daniel Michalski position

Liege: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Daniel Michalski

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01

Jessica Pegula position

Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 96.7% 2.07 shares
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 99.7% 2.01 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 75% 2.67 shares
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 96.5% 2.07 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 46% 4.35 shares
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 99.7% 2.01 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Up 1% 200 shares
XRP Up or Down - July 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Down 97% 2.06 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Down 96% 2.08 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Up 4% 5.2 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares