No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.33K
Polymarket Trader
bigbigwin
@xihuan886
0x5fbfb3d52f678b484b5dd6410fbeeb292ea84953
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $899.74
- Realized PnL
- $25.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$692
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$602.2
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$218
Yes position
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $325.95
- Potential payout
- $530
- Potential profit
- $204.05
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$77.85
No position
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $210.5
- Potential payout
- $389.82
- Potential profit
- $179.32
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$17.65
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.94
- Potential profit
- $323.94
- User PnL
- -$153.82
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $173.01
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $40.68
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9.33
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $34.24
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $7.16
- Potential payout
- $8.89
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $6.42
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.75K
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Rutgers Scarlet Knights position
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
East Texas A&M Lions position
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. East Texas A&M Lions
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $915
Yes position
Will Athletic Club vs. Girona end in a draw?
Ends Sep 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $790
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $715.29
Duke Blue Devils position
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.05
Brewers position
Brewers vs. Padres
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520
Old Dominion Monarchs position
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchs
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.09
South Florida position
South Florida vs. North Texas
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $310.07
Yes position
Will Brann win on 2025-10-02?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.22
Yes position
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-10-02?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
Yes position
Will the State of the Union be 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.8
Dodgers position
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 79% 17.6 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.9% 20 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.4% 50 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.2% 50 shares
- Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 57% 3.43 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 43% 0.42 shares
- Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?No 58% 300 shares
- Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?No 67% 45 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 62% 44.73 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No 79% 200 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 72% 500 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 71% 35 shares