Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.23K
- Potential profit
- $18.23K
- User PnL
- -$10.26K
Polymarket Trader
Cherubim
0x5fbfbf3e11a09812b2dffc4b46daa0d0483941f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.41K
- Realized PnL
- -$13.97K
- Win rate
- 8.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $2.31K
- Potential payout
- $14.01K
- Potential profit
- $11.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$210.16
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $93.4
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$139.27
Yes position
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.62
- Potential profit
- $357.62
- User PnL
- -$31.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.69
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$26.72
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.65
N
No position
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.44
Y
Yes position
Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$40.82
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.86
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$605.15
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$812.71
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$864.03
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.4K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.14K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 18% 6,915.11 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 18% 7,096.61 shares
- Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes 22.9% 114.31 shares
- Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes 58.6% 114.32 shares
- Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 24.1% 272.54 shares
- Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 36.7% 272.55 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 9% 29,953.37 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 13.7% 1,698.1 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 28% 830.97 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 651.32 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 6% 3,365.14 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32% 179.66 shares