Polymarket Trader

beata-monalisa

0x5fc788cd31bd484e9d873e3a77fbcfa6a023a9dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.75
Realized PnL: $1.99K
Win rate: 88.9%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.12K
Potential profit: $4.12K
User PnL: -$1.44K

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$818.64

Yes position

Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$334.5

Yes position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.19
Potential profit: $88.19
User PnL: -$11.46

No position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.04
Potential profit: $47.04
User PnL: -$6.59

No position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $8.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.1
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$5.5

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Grizzlies

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$1.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.37
Potential profit: $7.37
User PnL: -$4.94

76ers position

76ers vs. Pelicans

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3

Bucks position

Magic vs. Bucks

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

ChatGPT Outage by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $2.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

ChatGPT Outage by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $898.68

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.37

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $447.07

Flyers position

Flyers vs. Wild

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Wizards position

Pacers vs. Wizards

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Kansas Jayhawks position

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Cavaliers

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Suns position

Magic vs. Suns

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Clavicular be the top ranked Chad by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

No 52.6% 1,117.19 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

No 55.2% 385.72 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

No 22% 1,285.69 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Yes 35% 5,944.04 shares
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?

Yes 31.8% 1,051.93 shares
Will Clavicular be the top ranked Chad by March 31?

Yes 50% 100 shares
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas Jayhawks 56% 8.85 shares
Flyers vs. Wild

Flyers 43% 11.63 shares
Magic vs. Bucks

Bucks 47% 5 shares
Celtics vs. Cavaliers

Celtics 52% 5 shares
ChatGPT Outage by February 28?

Yes 34.6% 348.24 shares
76ers vs. Pelicans

76ers 60% 5 shares